10/23/2012 - 3:33am

After months of pundits telling us how many more paths to victory the president has, suddenly Mitt's path looks clear and attainable. 3-2-1.

Even without Ohio there are other ways now for Romney to get there... very very tossup, close race, electorally, now...

10/23/2012 - 1:26am

The president mocked Romney on the strength of the US military, using his punchiest line of the night on to defend against a shrinking ship count for the Navy. We also have fewer horses and bayonets offered the president. But it turns out that horses and bayonets remains vital to our national defense.

You mentioned the Navy, for example, and that we have fewer ships than we did in 1916," Obama said. "Well, Governor, we also have fewer horses and bayonets, because the nature of our military's changed.

"We have these things called aircraft carriers, where planes land on them. We have these ships that go under water, nuclear submarines," he said.

10/23/2012 - 1:20am

Who has shined in the handling of the Benghazi assassination of the US Ambassador to Libya - Romney or Obama? Former Romney aid Mike Murphy says the prize goes to... neither.

I think it was kind of a train wreck on all sides... I don't think it's gonna reallys change the outcome of the election, but it takes the edge off all these bragging rights for the president... it's like there's been an incompetence to it...

10/22/2012 - 3:28pm

A scary number for the president in the new NBC/Wall St Journal poll shows 62% saying, if Obama is reelected, that they want to see major changes from him. Mark Halperin says this spells trouble.

The number in there that says people want a changed Obama agenda is a huge number - it's higher than what people wanted from George W. Bush in 2004... He has said 'give me four more years to finish what I've started.' That number suggests people don't want him to finish, they want a change in direction...

10/22/2012 - 3:42am

The new poll from NBC News has some nice nuggets, much juicer than showing the race tied at 47% when the president led by 5 in their September poll. For example, as much as the media loves talking about Romney's girl trouble, it's the president who suffers a gender gap, but even though their gender numbers favor Romney, they're still calling it his problem!

... Romney's gender gap narrows when you move from registered voters to likely voters -- Obama's lead with women shrinks to eight points (51 percent to 43 percent), and Romney's advantage with men grows to 10 points (53 percent to 43 percent).

On the big economic issues on which the election hangs - like job creation - Romney is leading.

Romney also has the advantage on jobs and unemployment (46 percent to 39 percent) and the federal budget deficit (48 percent to 35 percent).

And by a four-point margin (45 percent to 41 percent), voters think Romney is better prepared to create jobs and improve the economy over the next four years.

Bad for Romney is the rather odd optimism that seems to have taken hold.

Forty-five percent believe the economy will improve in the next 12 months. That's up one point from the last poll and a whopping 18 points since July. What's more, 41 percent think the country is headed in the right direction, which is the highest mark on this question since June 2009.

10/22/2012 - 2:59am

Thomas Friedman says the debate over the assassination of Ambassador Chris Stevens is so trivial that the big story has been missed.

Thousands of Libyans, carrying pictures of our ambassador, voluntarily marched on the militia headquarters that did this and took these guys down!

10/22/2012 - 1:00am

Why does silly stuff - like Obama proudly saying that Mitt is suffering from Romneysia - dominate the presidential campaign? Since the president doesn't see himself winning over any voters who aren't behind him already, he's trying to make sure his voters are energized. GOP consultant Matthew Dowd takes explains.

This election is all about the base, in my view, and the enthusiam of the support...

10/21/2012 - 3:10pm

I agree with this thought, as expressed by former Reagan speech writer Peggy Noonan, that there's an amorphous storm brewing in the electorate - and I think it just might result in a strong Romney surge at the end, a surge only being detected realistically in the Gallup poll.

There is a sense out there that the American people are up to something that we don't know about, and just might be about to hand us some surprise that they've been cooking up...

10/21/2012 - 11:57am

Florida Senator Marco Rubio lays out the problem for Obama regarding Benghazi.

... one of the narratives that the Obama campaign has laid out is that bin Laden is dead... and that al Qaeda is in retreat. And you start to wonder that they basically do not allow any story to emerge that counters that narrative. Is that why for two weeks they told us that the Libyan incident in Benghazi was a popular uprising and not a terrorist attack because it ran counter to their campaign narrative???

10/21/2012 - 8:58am

Gallup editor in chief Frank Newport explains why party identification isn't a factor they take into consideration in doing their polling.

We do not weight by party at all - we never have and we don't now. We think party identification is an attitudinal variable that fluctuates just like who you're going to vote for...

 

When criticizing polls, people point to the number of people tallied from each party as a sign of bias, so Newport's explanation is intruiguing. Before the first debate, when Obama lead, the right was complaining about methodology, but with Gallup consistently showing Romney ahead by 6 points, now the left is mad.

Syndicate content