09/24/2012 - 9:03am

Ann Coulter disputes the idea that gay rights or immigrant rights should be considered Civil Rights.

... there is the legacy of slavery and Jim Crow laws... we don't owe the homeless, we don't owe... gays who want to get married to each other... what have we done to the immigrants? Immigrants haven't even been in this country...

09/24/2012 - 4:42am

David Brooks strikes back during a liberal slam-fest against Mitt Romney, led by former Clinton spokesman Dee Dee Myers, who demeaned Romney for being out of touch - even in his giving.

He's helped alcoholic mormons, he's helped immigrants - frankly, illegal immigrants... he's nursed kids who are dying... he has the perfect life story for a compassionate conservative campaign because he's lived that life...

Here's what Dee Dee says.

... he's been extremely generous, but it's always in the context of a very limited universe...

09/24/2012 - 4:24am

Remember when rock and roll was less big business and more meltdown? Green Day's Billie Joe Armstrong is reported to be heading to rehab after this bit of nostalgia.

Armstrong became irate when he realized the end of the band's scheduled 30-minute set was nearing its end. "They say we got nine minutes left! I say boo to that f---ing s---!"

"I've been around since 19-f---ing-88!" he continued. "I'm not f---ing Justin Bieber, you motherf---ers. This is a f---ing joke! And now you're gonna give me one minute? Now I got nothing left. I got nothing left. I'm gonna show you what one f---ing minute looks like." The two-day festival featured other acts--including No Doubt, Usher and Bon Jovi--performing short sets.

09/23/2012 - 6:43pm

She's the only rational person on the This Week panel, and it gets to be too much for Ann Coulter, listening to leftists describing what Mitt Romney said in the infamous tape instead of letting the tape speak for itself.

When you play the actual clip, I don't think that it's him being sneering, elitist, it is him explaining to donors why he can't get 47%... these descriptions of it in the media it's so much worse...

09/23/2012 - 6:36pm

ABC political reporter Nicolle Wallace says she talks with a half dozen people in the Romney campaign, and while they agree with some of the harsh critiques of the campaign, they have different ideas regarding what the solutions should be.

... they will admit that they need to get out of the gaffe prone narrative that they seem to be hostage in... they understand that they need to start... driving a message of their own...

It is extremely strange that the Romney campaign hasn't been driving a message of its own. The last strong week they had was following the selection of Paul Ryan when they pounded the message on Medicare.

09/23/2012 - 10:22am

Bill Kristol wonders why the Romney campaign isn't attacking the president for the meltdown in the Mideast. He points out that the attack in Libya is the topic that got Obama spokesman Robert Gibbs flustered in an interview this morning.

He's a very good spokeman for them... he did fine. What was the part where he was actually rattled and had trouble answering your questions? Foreign policy. It's in the headlines...

09/22/2012 - 10:53am

Lawrence O'Donnell - leftist of MSNBC - is in love with Fox News and the unbiased nature of the networks news operation.

A new poll that they cannot blame on the lefty propaganda machine, because in a new Fox News poll...

09/22/2012 - 9:27am

I'm sharing a note, and an article about deceptive polls, that I sent to my aunt.

When I was saying the Democrats punishment of urban America is obvious and you said it wasn't, we were both right, and that's the point I'm trying to make which I didn't explain well.

2+2=4. That's obvious. But it may have taken millions of years of human development to get to the point where the obvious could be seen and understood.

When I say that Dems control education, Dems run all major urban areas - that's two plus two. Democrats run urban areas, control upward mobility (education) and leave the poor living in poverty, in violence, and without means of escape. Should be obvious to people that Democrats are the enemies of the poor, the worst enemies of minorities, but it isn't.

The reason is narrative. Humans see and understand life through our own perspectives, and we develop those perspectives through stories. Dems have long sold a story of compassion, and even though facts obviously contradict the narrative, people ignore the facts.

That's why they're always pitching stories like the War on Women. Stories have power, that power tends to make people skip over the fact checking phase.

Polls have power in developing narrative because we trust them as facts. But check out this short article about the polls, which are facts built on art, and the pollsters get to pre-determine the story their facts tell with the stroke of their brushes.

And remember, assume the worst. Everyone's fighting over control of the world.

Now, here's the column from Jim Geraghty. 

What John McLaughlin Sees in the Polls Right Now

September 21, 2012 8:27 AM

By Jim Geraghty

I reached out to Republican pollster John McLaughlin for yesterday’s piece on how undecided voters are likely to break, and he made some separate comments about polls, their impact on motivation for each side, and how the campaigns want to use skewed poll numbers to depress the opposition.

How he’s defining likely voters right now: “For the most part we’re polling likely voters. It’s a loose screen. We keep people who say they’re only somewhat likely to vote. But the vast majority say that they are definitely or very likely to vote. They’re voting.”

How campaigns try to sway polling results: “In a close race, the operatives are trying to manipulate the turnout through their paid and earned media. The earned media includes lobbying and trying to skew the public polls. Historically the most egregious case was the 2000 Gore campaign’s lobbying the networks’ exit pollsters for an early, and wrong, call in Florida.

This suppressed the Florida Panhandle and Western state turnout.” (Polls close at different times in different parts of the state, because the state stretches into two time zones.) “In our post-election Florida poll, we found that thousands of Panhandle Floridians heard the call and although their polls were still open for an hour in a close national race decided not to vote. Panhandle voters went two-to-one for Bush. The CBS early wrong call nearly triggered a national crisis.”

On what a realistic partisan breakdown would look like: “The 2004 national exit polls showed an even partisan turnout and Bush won 51–48. Had it been the +4 Democratic edge of 2000, John Kerry would have been president. 2008 was a Democratic wave that gave them a +7 partisan advantage. 2010 was a Republican edge. There’s no wave right now.

There are about a dozen swing states where in total millions of voters who voted in 2008 for Obama are gone or have not voted since. There are also hundreds of thousands of voters in each of several swing states like Ohio, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, and others who voted from rural, exurban or suburban areas in 2004 for Bush who did not vote in 2008, because they were not excited by McCain or thought he would lose. They are currently planning to vote mainly as a vote against President Obama.”

What Obama and his allies are doing now: “The Democrats want to convince [these anti-Obama voters] falsely that Romney will lose to discourage them from voting. So they lobby the pollsters to weight their surveys to emulate the 2008 Democrat-heavy models. They are lobbying them now to affect early voting. IVR [Interactive Voice Response] polls are heavily weighted. You can weight to whatever result you want. Some polls have included sizable segments of voters who say they are ‘not enthusiastic’ to vote or non-voters to dilute Republicans. Major pollsters have samples with Republican affiliation in the 20 to 30 percent range, at such low levels not seen since the 1960s in states like Virginia, Florida, North Carolina and which then place Obama ahead. The intended effect is to suppress Republican turnout through media polling bias.

We’ll see a lot more of this. Then there’s the debate between calling off a random-digit dial of phone exchanges vs. a known sample of actual registered voters. Most polls favoring Obama are random and not off the actual voter list. That’s too expensive” for some pollsters.

 

 

 

 

 

 

09/21/2012 - 9:23pm

Scott Brown used a Friday press conference to keep the pressure on Liz Warren over work she did as an attorney for insurance giant Travelers in a lawsuit over asbestos.

Professor Warren has said that she always stands with the little guys... and against the interest of big corporations. Well, that's a good applause line, but it just isn't true.

09/21/2012 - 4:37pm

John McCain is tired of people on the right attacking Mitt Romney - people like former Reagan speechwriter Peggy Noonan, who attacks the Romney campaign again this week, quoting GOP pollster Steve Lombardo.

The pendulum has swung toward Obama." Mitt Romney has "a damaged political persona." He is running behind in key states like Ohio and Virginia and, to a lesser extent, Florida. The president is reversing the decline that began with his "You didn't build that" comment. For three weeks he's been on a roll. The wind's at his back.

The Romney campaign has to get turned around. This week I called it incompetent, but only because I was being polite. I really meant "rolling calamity."

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