Who Shows?

Sharron Angle has been trending down ever since she won the GOP nomination to challenge Harry Reid's reelction in Nevada. Her new ad, though, looks like it's aiming at the right angle.

Voter turnout could be crucial in the battle between Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid and his Republican challenger, Sharron Angle, and a new poll indicates that Republican voters in the state are more energized than their Democratic counterparts.

The poll indicates that Reid leads Angle 48 to 44 percent among likely voters. Among the larger poll of registered voters, Reid holds a 52 to 36 percent advantage.

Is this poll good news for Angle, or good news for Reid?

A Mason-Dixon survey conducted for the Las Vegas Review-Journal and KLAS-TV released last Friday indicated that 43 percent of Nevada voters support Reid with 42 percent backing Angle. Reid led Angle by 7 points in the previous Mason-Dixon poll, which was conducted two weeks earlier.

I'd rather be Angle than Reid in this scenario, as I figure the vote will shift more against incumbents in such a miserable year economically. Angle is being ruthlessly attacked by Reid, which is likely to fade in value as time wears on.

Reid is facing a difficult re-election as he bids this year for a fifth term in the Senate. Nevada has the highest unemployment level of any state in the nation and some of President Barack Obama's policies that Reid helped guide through the Senate are unpopular in the state.

More than seven out of ten questioned in the Reuters/Ipsos poll say that Nevada's on the wrong track.

In the end, it comes down to who shows up to vote, and anger is the fuel that will drive people to the polls.