Submitted By Todd on January 10th at 9:30am
Former President Bill Clinton will visit Boston on Friday to lend his support to US Senate candidate Martha Coakley, joining the Democratic nominee for a rally at the Fairmont Copley Plaza.The anticipated low turnout was supposed to work in favor of the machine politics of the Dems - and it looked like it was heading that way until the race heated up last week.
The event is a sign not just of Clinton’s continued support for Coakley - he endorsed her during last month’s primary - but also that Democrats are taking seriously the race between her and Republican Scott P. Brown.Things are looking so bad for Coakley that someone apparently told her to make some campaign appearances to create the impression that she respects the notion of democracy.
Coakley, who had few public events in the first weeks after the primary, stopped by shops in Jamaica Plain with local officials to promote her plan for targeted tax relief for small businesses.Things are looking so bad for Coakley that the Boston Globe, formerly the kingpin of such selections, and still an important force despite their shrinking presence, did its own poll in order to move attention off the two surveys released over the past few days (scroll down for coverage) indicating Brown closing in, and even leading, Coakley.
Democrat Martha Coakley, buoyed by her durable statewide popularity, enjoys a solid, 15-percentage-point lead over Republican rival Scott Brown as the race for US Senate enters the homestretch, according to a new Boston Globe poll of likely voters.The pollsters at the University of New Hampshire appear to have included those who say they "May" vote into this tally of "likely" voters. The key to gaining accurate results in polling, especially in a low turnout special election, is talking to voters who are actually going to take part come election day.
“Which of the following statements best describes you ... (READ NUMBERS 1 TO 5) 1 I will probably NOT vote in the special Senate election, TERMINATE 2 I MAY vote in the special Senate election, 3 Unless some emergency comes up, I WILL vote in the special Senate election, 4 I will DEFINITELY vote in the special Senate election, or 5 I just don't know at this time.” TERMINATEYou'll notice that in the above questions and instructions to the person interviewing, they are not instructed to terminate the survey for those who indicate they "May" vote. This is critical, as the Globe reports a tie among very motivated voters:
"Brown matches Coakley - both were at 47 percent - among the roughly 1 in 4 respondents who said they were “extremely interested’’ in the race."In the Globe's front page story on its poll, there's another deceptive move - an attempt to pump up the importance of the Kennedy mythology in this race.
The announcement Wednesday that key members of Senator Kennedy’s extended family are backing Coakley may have helped consolidate some of her support. “I just heard that the Kennedys are endorsing Martha Coakley, and that is a good sign,’’ said poll respondent Mary Walsh, a registered independent from Revere who says she generally votes for Democrats.
Oh, but when there are good government people around, watch out for the cheap tricks and blatant deceptions! The poll was conducted over 5 days, January 2 through 6, Saturday through Wednesday. Guess when the Kennedy endorsement happened?
Vicki Kennedy threw her support behind Coakley on Thursday at a Kennedy-esque event: A brass band entertained a crowd of senior citizens with ''Hello Dolly'' and other show tunes.Thursday? What is the Globe talking about then? Very few people knew the endorsement was coming on Wednesday! And, only 3% of those surveyed indicated that Ted Kennedy and liberal ideals were important to them in this election. Hello Dolly! Finally, there is some blogosphere outrage over the suggestion that Massachusetts might delay the swearing in of the state's new senator if he happens to be a Republican. This is being strongly denied by Secretary of State Bill Galvin.
In 2007, the US House allowed Niki Tsongas to be sworn in less than 48 hours after her special election, accepting a temporary certification from Galvin at a time when the state’s Fifth District seat was vacant. The US Senate has stricter rules, meaning the 10-day period must be upheld, Galvin said.The Public Policy Polling survey completed Saturday shows Brown up one point, and the Rasmussen poll from Tuesday shows Coakley up 9. Neither poll is mentioned by the Globe in coverage of its own poll.