Can Ron Paul Win Iowa?

Will Ron Paul run as a third party candidate? George Will thinks it's a good possibility, but GOP consultant Matthew Dowd thinks Ron Paul could win the Iowa caucus vote and upset the race for the Republican nomination.

I would not be surprised at all, seven weeks from now, that Ron Paul wins the Iowa caucuses and goes into New Hampshire and disrupts this field even more.

How about the polls in Iowa - is Ron Paul really that strong?

Two state polls this week show him in a statistical tie for first. One, released Monday by Bloomberg News, showed Paul winning 19 percent of likely Republican caucus voters, within the margin of error with Herman Cain, Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich.

The Bloomberg poll showed that about two-thirds of Iowa respondents had been contacted by the Paul campaign by phone, email or a knock on the door, more outreach than any other candidate.

“We’ve been out-hustling the other campaigns,” said Jesse Benton, Paul’s national campaign manager.

With Ron Paul's strong presidential run following his son Rand's senate win last year, the Paul's are turning into the new Bush family.