A Brown Tie
Submitted By Todd on January 9th at 11:33pm
The race to replace Ted Kennedy in the US Senate is looking like a toss up, with Republican Scott Brown up 48-47 on Martha Coakley.Imagine all those shivering Democrats in Washington, wondering why they were dumb enough to follow the rookie president into the health care wilderness.
Brown is benefiting from depressed Democratic interest in the election and a huge lead among independents for his surprisingly strong standing. Those planning to vote in the special election only report having voted for Barack Obama in 2008 by a 16 point margin, in contrast to his actual 26 point victory in the state.Maybe in Beijing they want what Democrats are pushing, but only maybe. They've seen the power of capitalism in China.
That decline in turnout from Obama voters plagued Democratic candidates for Governor in Virginia and New Jersey last fall. Beyond, that 66% of Republicans say they’re ‘very excited’ about turning out while only 48% of Democrats express that sentiment.Coakley has depressed interest among democrats by running a non-campaign, assuming that she can just coast into office.
Brown leads 63-31 with independents and is winning 17% of the Democratic vote while Coakley receives only 6% support from GOP voters. Both candidates are relatively popular, with 57% viewing Brown favorably to only 25% unfavorable and 50% with a positive opinion of Coakley to 42% negative.Brown has excited voters by being engaged, down to earth and conservative.
Those folks planning to vote in the special election are actually opposed to Obama’s health care plan by a 47/41 margin and only narrowly express approval of the President’s overall job performance 44/43.Being a Democrat is becoming a political liability in these United States.
“The Massachusetts Senate race is shaping up as a potential disaster for Democrats,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Martha Coakley’s complacent campaign has put Scott Brown in a surprisingly strong position and she will need to step it up in the final week to win a victory once thought inevitable.”How's that for Hope & Change?